How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

<200k

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Yes
8.1%
$0.0810
No
94.5%
$0.9450
Event Volume
$1.9K
Outcomes in Event
10
Resolution Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Other Outcomes: How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

View All Outcomes

This event has 10 possible outcomes. See event page →

300-400k
33.0%
400-500k
27.0%
200-300k
24.0%
500-600k
17.0%
600-700k
5.6%
>1m
4.5%
700-800k
2.0%
900k-1m
1.8%
800-900k
1.7%

More Politics Events

Event Volume Ends
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $860.4M Nov 07, 2028