How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Total Volume
$1.9K
Outcomes
10
Resolution Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
300-400k 33.0% 71.0% $0
400-500k 27.0% 78.0% $0
200-300k 24.0% 85.0% $0
500-600k 17.0% 95.0% $0
<200k 8.1% 94.5% $0
600-700k 5.6% 97.0% $0
>1m 4.5% 97.8% $0
700-800k 2.0% 99.3% $0
900k-1m 1.8% 99.6% $0
800-900k 1.7% 98.8% $0

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