How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

6-9

Politics Jupiter Ends Apr 04, 2026 0 days left
Active
Yes
97.0%
$0.9700
No
5.0%
$0.0500
Event Volume
$763.3K
Outcomes in Event
6
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of independent incidents of US-initiated drone, missile, or air strikes on the soil of Somalia that occur between March 1 and March 31, 2026, and are announced by the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) by April 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United Sta...

Other Outcomes: How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

View All Outcomes

This event has 6 possible outcomes. See event page →

10-13
3.4%
≤5
0.5%
14-17
0.3%
18-21
0.1%
22+
0.1%

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