How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

Politics Jupiter Ends Apr 04, 2026 0 days left
Active
Total Volume
$763.3K
Outcomes
6
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of independent incidents of US-initiated drone, missile, or air strikes on the soil of Somalia that occur between March 1 and March 31, 2026, and are announced by the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) by April 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United Sta...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
6-9 97.0% 5.0% $0
10-13 3.4% 97.9% $0
≤5 0.5% 99.7% $0
14-17 0.3% 99.8% $0
18-21 0.1% 100.0% $0
22+ 0.1% 100.0% $0

More Politics Events

Event Outcomes Volume Ends
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 44 $938.3M Nov 07, 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 35 $493.0M Nov 07, 2028
Presidential Election Winner 2028 36 $472.5M Nov 07, 2028
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? 4 $88.3M Dec 31, 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026? 16 $78.6M Dec 31, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire by...? 10 $62.5M Dec 31, 2026