Active
Yes
2.3%
$0.0230
No
99.4%
$0.9940
Event Volume
$97.7K
Outcomes in Event
14
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezboll...
Other Outcomes: Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
View All OutcomesThis event has 14 possible outcomes. See event page →
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