Total Volume
$97.7K
Outcomes
14
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezboll...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 25 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 26 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 24 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 18 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 20 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 6.7% | 98.9% | $0 |
| March 29 | 3.1% | 98.8% | $0 |
| March 30 | 2.7% | 98.0% | $0 |
| March 28 | 2.3% | 99.4% | $0 |
| March 27 | 1.5% | 99.7% | $0 |
| March 19 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 21 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 22 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 23 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
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