What will happen before GTA VI?

China invades Taiwan

Politics Jupiter Ends Jul 31, 2026 133 days left
Active
Yes
52.0%
$0.5200
No
49.0%
$0.4900
Event Volume
$19.2M
Outcomes in Event
9
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions...

Other Outcomes: What will happen before GTA VI?

View All Outcomes

This event has 9 possible outcomes. See event page →

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