Total Volume
$19.2M
Outcomes
9
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official rel...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake releases Iceman | 95.9% | 6.1% | $0 |
| New Rihanna Album | 63.0% | 38.0% | $1 |
| GPT-6 released | 59.0% | 44.0% | $1 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire | 54.0% | 47.0% | $1 |
| Trump out as President | 53.0% | 48.0% | $1 |
| China invades Taiwan | 52.0% | 49.0% | $1 |
| New Playboi Carti Album | 51.0% | 50.0% | $1 |
| Jesus Christ returns | 49.0% | 52.0% | $10 |
| Bitcoin hits $1m | 48.9% | 51.2% | $4 |
More Politics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 44 | $860.4M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 34 | $434.5M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 35 | $426.4M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $71.9M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $41.0M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | 1 | $39.2M | Mar 31, 2026 |