Fed Rate Cut
Active
Yes
7.0%
$0.0700
No
95.0%
$0.9500
Event Volume
$96.4K
Outcomes in Event
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation...
Other Outcomes: What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
View All OutcomesThis event has 4 possible outcomes. See event page →
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