What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

US x Iran Ceasefire

Culture Jupiter Ends Oct 31, 2026 225 days left
Active
Yes
43.0%
$0.4300
No
59.0%
$0.5900
Event Volume
$77.4K
Outcomes in Event
4
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between the United States and Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s n...

Other Outcomes: What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

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This event has 4 possible outcomes. See event page →

New Supreme Leader of Iran
100.0%
Fed Rate Cut
13.0%
US Confirms Aliens Exist
6.7%

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