What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
Resolved
Total Volume
$96.4K
Outcomes
4
Resolution
Yes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation wi...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Supreme Leader of Iran | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| US x Iran Ceasefire | 53.0% | 57.0% | $0 |
| Fed Rate Cut | 7.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| US Confirms Aliens Exist | 5.8% | 94.7% | $0 |
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