Which bills will become law in 2026?

DEFIANCE Act

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Yes
91.0%
$0.9100
No
96.0%
$0.9600
Event Volume
$29.8K
Outcomes in Event
14
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the S. 1837 (119th) — “DEFIANCE Act of 2025.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law...

Other Outcomes: Which bills will become law in 2026?

View All Outcomes

This event has 14 possible outcomes. See event page →

FISA Section 702 reauthorization
94.0%
Trump Airport
93.9%
Credit-card routing competition
92.0%
SELF DRIVE Act
92.0%
Export-control chip security
92.0%
AI-chip export licensing
92.0%
Data center utility cost protection
91.0%
Critical-minerals stockpile
91.0%
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
91.0%
Film/TV production expensing
91.0%
+3 more outcomes

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