Export-control chip security
Active
Yes
92.0%
$0.9200
No
94.0%
$0.9400
Event Volume
$29.8K
Outcomes in Event
14
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the...
Other Outcomes: Which bills will become law in 2026?
View All OutcomesThis event has 14 possible outcomes. See event page →
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