March 31
Active
Yes
28.0%
$0.2800
No
73.0%
$0.7300
Event Volume
$3.1M
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military force...
Other Outcomes: Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
View All OutcomesThis event has 2 possible outcomes. See event page →
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