Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 11 days left
Active
Total Volume
$3.1M
Outcomes
2
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military force...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
March 31 28.0% 73.0% $3
March 7 0.1% 100.0% $0

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