April 30
Active
Yes
10.0%
$0.1000
No
95.0%
$0.9500
Event Volume
$54.9K
Outcomes in Event
3
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on t...
Other Outcomes: Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28?
View All OutcomesThis event has 3 possible outcomes. See event page →
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