Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28?
Resolved
Total Volume
$54.9K
Outcomes
3
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any chang...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| April 30 | 10.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 1.5% | 98.9% | $0 |
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