Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

March 31

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 11 days left
Active
Yes
0.8%
$0.0080
No
99.4%
$0.9940
Event Volume
$14.0M
Outcomes in Event
4
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus o...

Other Outcomes: Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

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This event has 4 possible outcomes. See event page →

December 31
13.0%
January 31
0.1%
December 31, 2025
0.0%

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