Total Volume
$14.0M
Outcomes
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensu...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 13.0% | 88.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 0.8% | 99.4% | $3 |
| January 31 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $8 |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $3 |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $71.9M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $41.0M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | 1 | $39.2M | Mar 31, 2026 |