Total Volume
$14.1M
Outcomes
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensu...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 15.0% | 87.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | $3 |
| January 31 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $8 |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $3 |
More Politics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 44 | $938.3M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 35 | $493.0M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 36 | $472.5M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $88.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $78.6M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by...? | 10 | $62.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |