Total Volume
$5.8K
Outcomes
10
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 60.6% | 80.0% | $0 |
| Larry Page | 47.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 37.0% | 98.0% | $0 |
| Sergey Brin | 34.0% | 89.0% | $0 |
| Warren Buffett | 31.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| Elon Musk | 22.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| Bernard Arnault | 19.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Larry Ellison | 17.0% | 94.0% | $0 |
| Jensen Huang | 11.0% | 99.0% | $0 |
| Steve Ballmer | 4.8% | 99.0% | $0 |
More Climate & science Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | 9 | $7.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? | 7 | $1.1M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? | 6 | $665.9K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | 1 | $522.9K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Measles cases in U.S. by March 31? | 9 | $386.2K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | 8 | $347.6K | Dec 31, 2026 |