How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

Climate & science Jupiter Ends Jan 10, 2027 296 days left
Active
Total Volume
$12.7K
Outcomes
8
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count. As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here:...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
1250+ 41.0% 70.0% $0
<950 25.0% 81.0% $0
1200–1249 24.0% 86.0% $0
1150–1199 23.0% 94.7% $0
1050–1099 21.0% 93.0% $0
1000–1049 21.0% 92.0% $0
1100–1149 16.6% 98.2% $0
950–999 16.4% 98.0% $0

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