How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

Climate & science Jupiter Ends Jan 10, 2027 238 days left
Active
Total Volume
$26.1K
Outcomes
8
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count. As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here:...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
1250+ 45.0% 63.0% $0
950–999 42.2% 98.7% $0
1050–1099 42.0% 92.0% $0
1000–1049 38.0% 96.0% $0
1200–1249 36.0% 95.0% $0
1100–1149 35.6% 98.0% $0
<950 21.0% 92.0% $0
1150–1199 17.3% 98.7% $0

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