2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
Active
Total Volume
$138.7K
Outcomes
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 versus the data points available for all other Marches on record. Note: If March 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" (https://data.giss.nasa...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4th or lower | 97.7% | 3.3% | $0 |
| 1st hottest | 1.8% | 99.1% | $0 |
| 3rd hottest | 1.7% | 98.9% | $0 |
| 2nd hottest | 1.2% | 99.6% | $0 |
More Climate & science Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | 9 | $7.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? | 7 | $1.0M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? | 6 | $583.4K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | 1 | $517.3K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 3rd richest person on March 31? | 10 | $295.2K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | 1 | $275.8K | Dec 31, 2026 |