March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Active
Total Volume
$148.2K
Outcomes
6
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20–1.24ºC | 41.0% | 66.0% | $0 |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | 32.0% | 72.0% | $0 |
| 1.25–1.29ºC | 21.8% | 84.3% | $0 |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | 11.0% | 91.0% | $0 |
| <1.10ºC | 3.0% | 97.1% | $0 |
| >1.29ºC | 2.9% | 97.3% | $0 |
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| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | 9 | $7.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? | 7 | $1.0M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? | 6 | $583.4K | Dec 31, 2026 |
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| 3rd richest person on March 31? | 10 | $295.2K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | 1 | $275.8K | Dec 31, 2026 |