US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Politics Jupiter
Resolved
Total Volume
$62.5M
Outcomes
10
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, an “official ceasefire agreement” requires clear public confirmation from both the United States government and the government of Iran that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another. If the agreement is off...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
March 15 100.0% 100.0% $0
December 31 73.0% 28.0% $1
June 30 60.0% 41.0% $2
May 31 46.0% 55.0% $2
April 30 30.0% 71.0% $7
April 15 19.0% 82.0% $6
April 7 8.0% 93.0% $1
March 31 1.2% 98.9% $39
March 2 0.1% 100.0% $3
March 6 0.1% 100.0% $0

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