SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

February 28

Tech Jupiter Ends Jan 31, 2026 0 days left
Resolved
Yes
100.0%
$1.0000
No
100.0%
$1.0000
Event Volume
$1.3M
Resolution
No
Outcomes in Event
12
Resolution Rules

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change...

Other Outcomes: SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

View All Outcomes

This event has 12 possible outcomes. See event page →

January 31
100.0%
April 21
59.0%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
54.0%
April 30
52.0%
Successful splash down?
44.0%
April 14
30.0%
April 7
19.0%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
9.9%
March 31
1.0%
December 31
0.0%
+1 more outcomes

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