Super Heavy booster explodes?

Tech Jupiter Ends Jan 31, 2026 0 days left
Active
Yes
54.0%
$0.5400
No
63.0%
$0.6300
Event Volume
$1.3M
Outcomes in Event
12
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the twelfth launc...

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