Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

December 31

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 0 days left
Active
Yes
32.0%
$0.3200
No
75.0%
$0.7500
Event Volume
$873.8K
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquis...

Other Outcomes: Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

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This event has 2 possible outcomes. See event page →

March 31
0.2%

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