Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

March 31

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 11 days left
Active
Yes
1.5%
$0.0150
No
99.0%
$0.9900
Event Volume
$726.4K
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish o...

Other Outcomes: Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

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December 31
40.0%

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