Total Volume
$726.4K
Outcomes
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquis...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 40.0% | 70.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 1.5% | 99.0% | $1 |
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