April 30, 2026
Active
Yes
27.0%
$0.2700
No
74.0%
$0.7400
Event Volume
$5.5M
Outcomes in Event
11
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any...
Other Outcomes: Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
View All OutcomesThis event has 11 possible outcomes. See event page →
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