Total Volume
$5.5M
Outcomes
11
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 31, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $1 |
| February 28, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| December 31, 2026 | 86.0% | 15.0% | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 | 68.0% | 34.0% | $0 |
| April 30, 2026 | 27.0% | 74.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 7.0% | 94.0% | $1 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| August 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| October 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| September 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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