Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

January 31, 2026

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 11 days left

Resolved

Yes

100.0%

$1.0000

100.0%

$1.0000

Event Volume

$5.5M

Resolution

Outcomes in Event

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by January 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For...