Total Volume
$2.3M
Outcomes
5
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies,...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 25.0% | 77.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 1.0% | 99.7% | $0 |
| January 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| January 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| January 17 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
More Politics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 44 | $860.4M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 34 | $434.5M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 35 | $426.4M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $71.9M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $41.0M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | 1 | $39.2M | Mar 31, 2026 |