Total Volume
$1.0M
Outcomes
5
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credib...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 33.0% | 68.0% | $0 |
| June 30 | 13.0% | 88.0% | $0 |
| April 30 | 6.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 0.7% | 99.6% | $0 |
| January 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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|---|---|---|---|
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