Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Total Volume
$939.8K
Outcomes
5
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
April 30 88.0% 94.0% $0
December 31 30.0% 72.0% $0
June 30 14.0% 88.0% $0
March 31 1.5% 98.6% $0
January 31 0.0% 0.0% $0

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