Texas Republican Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Resolved
Total Volume
$2.8K
Outcomes
9
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes r...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton 9%+ | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Cornyn <3% | 99.8% | 1.7% | $0 |
| Cornyn 3–6% | 13.6% | 99.6% | $0 |
| Cornyn 6%+ | 2.2% | 99.3% | $0 |
| Paxton 6–9% | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Paxton 3–6% | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Paxton <3% | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Hunt 3%+ | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Hunt <3% | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
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