Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Active
Total Volume
$185.9K
Outcomes
6
Resolution Rules
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes r...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talarico 5–10% | 99.0% | 1.1% | $0 |
| Talarico 15%+ | 0.4% | 99.9% | $0 |
| Talarico 10–15% | 0.4% | 99.9% | $0 |
| Talarico <5% | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Crockett 5%+ | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Crockett <5% | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
More Politics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 44 | $938.3M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 35 | $493.0M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 36 | $472.5M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $88.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $78.6M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by...? | 10 | $62.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |