Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Active
Total Volume
$37.3K
Outcomes
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 64.0% | 48.0% | $0 |
| June 30 | 8.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
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