Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?
Active
Total Volume
$8.1M
Outcomes
13
Resolution Rules
instead of france germany etc This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground t...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAE | 23.0% | 79.0% | $2 |
| Saudi Arabia | 21.0% | 81.0% | $2 |
| Qatar | 19.3% | 82.6% | $1 |
| Bahrain | 8.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Kuwait | 6.9% | 94.0% | $0 |
| UK | 3.7% | 96.5% | $1 |
| Any E.U. Country | 3.1% | 97.0% | $0 |
| Jordan | 2.9% | 97.3% | $0 |
| Turkey | 2.7% | 97.5% | $0 |
| France | 2.7% | 97.6% | $1 |
| Oman | 1.2% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Canada | 0.8% | 99.3% | $0 |
| Germany | 0.8% | 99.3% | $1 |
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