Total Volume
$579.7K
Outcomes
4
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| December 31, 2026 | 9.5% | 93.1% | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 | 4.3% | 96.4% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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