Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Resolved
Total Volume
$3.6M
Outcomes
14
Resolution
Yes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 20 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $3 |
| March 28 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 27 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 21 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 22 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 23 | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| March 24 | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| March 25 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 26 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| March 30 | 99.5% | 1.9% | $0 |
| March 29 | 98.2% | 2.7% | $0 |
| March 31 | 96.8% | 4.2% | $0 |
| March 18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| March 19 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
More Politics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | 44 | $938.3M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | 35 | $493.0M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | 36 | $472.5M | Nov 07, 2028 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | 4 | $88.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | 16 | $78.6M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by...? | 10 | $62.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |