Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Active
Total Volume
$6.7K
Outcomes
13
Resolution Rules
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 33.1% | 83.5% | $0 |
| Keiko Fujimori <5% | 33.0% | 84.0% | $0 |
| Rafael López Aliaga 5-10% | 19.6% | 89.5% | $0 |
| Keiko Fujimori 5%+ | 17.3% | 89.9% | $0 |
| Alfonso López Chau 5%+ | 17.1% | 98.8% | $0 |
| Rafael López Aliaga <5% | 16.0% | 87.0% | $0 |
| Rafael López Aliaga 10-15% | 14.0% | 92.2% | $0 |
| Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ | 9.9% | 97.0% | $0 |
| Jorge Nieto | 6.4% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Alfonso López Chau <5% | 3.6% | 97.9% | $0 |
| Other | 2.3% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Wolfgang Grozo | 2.2% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Carlos Álvarez | 1.1% | 99.0% | $0 |
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