Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Active
Total Volume
$463.9K
Outcomes
13
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territo...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 29.0% | 72.0% | $0 |
| UAE | 20.0% | 81.0% | $0 |
| Any E.U. Country | 10.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Bahrain | 10.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Kuwait | 8.0% | 94.0% | $0 |
| Qatar | 7.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| Jordan | 6.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| France | 5.4% | 95.4% | $0 |
| Turkey | 4.6% | 96.8% | $0 |
| Oman | 4.4% | 96.8% | $0 |
| UK | 3.1% | 97.0% | $0 |
| Germany | 3.0% | 97.4% | $0 |
| Canada | 2.1% | 99.2% | $0 |
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