Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
Resolved
Total Volume
$163.3K
Outcomes
28
Resolution
Yes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's gr...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| Israel | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| Saudi Arabia | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| Kuwait | 98.3% | 3.4% | $0 |
| Bahrain | 96.9% | 3.5% | $0 |
| UAE | 93.7% | 6.8% | $0 |
| Iraq | 68.0% | 45.0% | $0 |
| Pakistan | 62.6% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Qatar | 51.0% | 50.0% | $0 |
| Syria | 40.0% | 80.0% | $0 |
| Lebanon | 29.0% | 78.0% | $0 |
| Oman | 26.0% | 79.0% | $0 |
| Cyprus | 10.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
| Azerbaijan | 9.0% | 92.0% | $0 |
| Turkey | 8.0% | 94.0% | $0 |
| Yemen | 7.0% | 97.0% | $0 |
| India | 6.9% | 98.8% | $0 |
| UK | 6.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| Germany | 4.7% | 97.5% | $0 |
| Ukraine | 4.0% | 97.0% | $0 |
| Italy | 3.9% | 98.5% | $0 |
| Afghanistan | 3.9% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Poland | 3.5% | 96.6% | $0 |
| France | 3.0% | 98.2% | $0 |
| Spain | 3.0% | 98.8% | $0 |
| Georgia | 2.9% | 97.3% | $0 |
| Armenia | 1.9% | 98.8% | $0 |
| Hungary | 1.2% | 98.9% | $0 |
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