Total Volume
$1.8M
Outcomes
8
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any ch...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| January 31 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| December 31 | 82.0% | 26.0% | $0 |
| June 30 | 47.0% | 54.0% | $0 |
| April 30 | 31.0% | 71.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 3.0% | 97.6% | $1 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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