Total Volume
$1.9M
Outcomes
3
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Polish soil or any official Polish embassy or consulate between September 9, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Russian military forces that impact Polish ground territory or any official Polish em...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | 10.8% | 90.6% | $0 |
| September 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $2 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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