Total Volume
$1.7M
Outcomes
3
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the sovereign territory of any NATO member state or on any official embassy or consulate of a NATO member state between December 4, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Russian military forces tha...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 2.3% | 97.9% | $1 |
| October 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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