Total Volume
$4.0M
Outcomes
6
Resolution Rules
On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or anothe...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 32.0% | 75.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 2.0% | 99.6% | $0 |
| October 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $3 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| November 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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