Total Volume
$2.6M
Outcomes
6
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $1 |
| June 30 | 13.0% | 89.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 5.8% | 96.2% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| October 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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