Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
Active
Total Volume
$452.8K
Outcomes
5
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Isr...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 99.0% | 97.0% | $0 |
| December 31 | 99.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 5.8% | 96.8% | $0 |
| October 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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