Total Volume
$1.2M
Outcomes
5
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| June 30 | 6.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 0.7% | 99.6% | $0 |
| December 31 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
| November 30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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